Links: solid data and analysis of COVID-19

[sonia]

Coronavirus: Why You Must Act Now by Tomas Pueyo. Amazing data analysis, easy to understand graphs, all the information you've (I've) been craving.

If you stack up the orange bars [known Wuhan cases at the time] until 1/22, you get 444 cases. Now add up all the grey bars [actual Wuhan cases]. They add up to ~12,000 cases. So when Wuhan thought it had 444 cases, it had 27 times more. If France thinks it has 1,400 cases, it might well have tens of thousands

Social Distancing: This is Not a Snow Day by Asaf Bitton, MD, MPH. Thinking through what social distancing is, some tips, and acknowledging barriers.

We have a preemptive opportunity to save lives through the actions we take right now that we will not have in a few weeks. It is a public health imperative. It is also our responsibility as a community to act while we still have a choice and while our actions can have the greatest impact.

We cannot wait.

People ‘shed’ high levels of coronavirus, study finds, but most are likely not infectious after recovery begins by Helen Branswell.

Importantly, the scientists could not grow viruses from throat swabs or sputum specimens after day 8 of illness from people who had mild infections.

Coronavirus and Pets: FAQs for Owners from College of Veterinary Medicine University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.

Since your pet is at minimal risk of COVID-19 infection there are no specific steps needed to protect them from infection. However, pets can have the virus ON THEM if they are in an environment with a large quantity of the virus and could serve to be a source of the virus for other people, including family members.

Coronavirus and the Sun: a Lesson from the 1918 Influenza Pandemic by Richard Hobday. I have always felt better outside when I have a cold.

Put simply, medics found that severely ill flu patients nursed outdoors recovered better than those treated indoors. A combination of fresh air and sunlight seems to have prevented deaths among patients; and infections among medical staff.[1] There is scientific support for this. Research shows that outdoor air is a natural disinfectant. Fresh air can kill the flu virus and other harmful germs. Equally, sunlight is germicidal and there is now evidence it can kill the flu virus.

Encouraging words about the world covid-19 response by Merricat Blackwood via jesse_the_k.

I will change my behavior in order to be part of a collective effort to help protect people - not myself, necessarily, or even the people I love, but other people in this giant collectivity of which I am a part.

That is fucking mind-blowing. It's so sci fi as to be almost fantastical.

Make a Dust Mask Out of a Tee Shirt by Kinderhook via jesse_the_k

An entertaining thread on food prep for first-timers by dylan_thyme .

"Distracted boyfriend meme" with two epidemic graphs and a US flag by robdubbin .

Comments

[rosefox]

You found that first link reassuring? Wow, you're sturdier than I am. I need to go hide under a blanket for the next several months.

[sonia]

I'm sorry it had that effect!

For me, when skilled scientists analyze data and share their results during a disaster, I'm reassured that I don't have to figure it out by myself, and that they have our collective backs.

[asakiyume]

I strongly agree about the giant collective. All of this is *very* anxiety-producing, but that one thing I do take solace from.

[sonia]

Yes. Maybe, just maybe when this is finally over, we'll build a society that is more collaborative and compassionate than what we have now.